Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.233955 0.323975 0.424800 0.543793 0.678361 0.824093 0.992226
2025-07-06 0.123096 0.236871 0.382963 0.572422 0.802315 1.064915 1.381078
2025-07-13 0.078994 0.201283 0.375234 0.614591 0.916686 1.271332 1.707161
2025-07-20 0.048473 0.171722 0.366588 0.649334 1.017964 1.460067 2.011823
2025-07-27 0.034436 0.162432 0.381827 0.711791 1.150932 1.684515 2.356574
2025-08-03 0.021017 0.146370 0.382774 0.752089 1.253893 1.871432 2.656097
2025-08-10 0.008514 0.120202 0.361997 0.758203 1.309926 1.998892 2.882996
2025-08-17 0.000373 0.081067 0.309138 0.711438 1.291594 2.030676 2.991634
2025-08-24 NaN 0.048935 0.257082 0.658409 1.259611 2.041476 3.071556
2025-08-31 NaN 0.032235 0.229770 0.639998 1.272423 2.107216 3.217254
2025-09-07 NaN 0.023881 0.219138 0.647405 1.320657 2.218088 3.418587
2025-09-14 NaN 0.015031 0.201208 0.639810 1.345859 2.297953 3.580477
2025-09-21 NaN 0.007057 0.178297 0.622733 1.359383 2.366500 3.734224
2025-09-28 NaN 0.005768 0.183699 0.659160 1.453715 2.544096 4.028157
2025-10-05 NaN 0.005256 0.192967 0.702900 1.558924 2.736082 4.340173
2025-10-12 NaN 0.004381 0.199180 0.740620 1.655137 2.916234 4.637480
2025-10-19 NaN 0.005541 0.219923 0.807332 1.795709 3.156306 5.011501
2025-10-26 NaN 0.005041 0.228743 0.850399 1.900349 3.348173 5.324251
2025-11-02 NaN 0.002596 0.219553 0.856910 1.948899 3.464351 5.540367
2025-11-09 NaN 0.000049 0.184497 0.806984 1.908625 3.459110 5.600138
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.149324 0.750244 1.854238 3.432336 5.630390
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.132265 0.730512 1.856651 3.482115 5.758193
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.127182 0.738452 1.903535 3.593409 5.965920